Treed Avalanche Forecasting: Mitigating Avalanche Danger Utilizing Bayesian Additive Regression Trees
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Bayesian Additive Regression Trees
We develop a Bayesian “sum-of-trees” model where each tree is constrained by a regularization prior to be a weak learner, and fitting and inference are accomplished via an iterative Bayesian backfitting MCMC algorithm that generates samples from a posterior. Effectively, BART is a nonparametric Bayesian regression approach which uses dimensionally adaptive random basis elements. Motivated by en...
متن کاملParallel Bayesian Additive Regression Trees
Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a Bayesian approach to flexible non-linear regression which has been shown to be competitive with the best modern predictive methods such as those based on bagging and boosting. BART offers some advantages. For example, the stochastic search Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm can provide a more complete search of the model space and variation ...
متن کاملBART: Bayesian Additive Regression Trees
We develop a Bayesian “sum-of-trees” model where each tree is constrained by a regularization prior to be a weak learner, and fitting and inference are accomplished via an iterative Bayesian backfitting MCMC algorithm that generates samples from a posterior. Effectively, BART is a nonparametric Bayesian regression approach which uses dimensionally adaptive random basis elements. Motivated by en...
متن کاملParticle Gibbs for Bayesian Additive Regression Trees
Additive regression trees are flexible nonparametric models and popular off-the-shelf tools for real-world non-linear regression. In application domains, such as bioinformatics, where there is also demand for probabilistic predictions with measures of uncertainty, the Bayesian additive regression trees (BART) model, introduced by Chipman et al. (2010), is increasingly popular. As data sets have...
متن کاملBayesian Additive Regression Trees using Bayesian model averaging
Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) is a statistical sum of trees model. It can be considered a Bayesian version of machine learning tree ensemble methods where the individual trees are the base learners. However for datasets where the number of variables p is large (e.g. p > 5, 000) the algorithm can become prohibitively expensive, computationally. Another method which is popular for hig...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Forecasting
سال: 2016
ISSN: 0277-6693,1099-131X
DOI: 10.1002/for.2421